We have seen the data on the so-called 'great replacement' which Westerners are said to be visiting upon themselves: In the U.S., in France, in Belgium, Germany, Sweden.
For our piece on the U.K., we had no choice but to use the 2011 census numbers, as those from 2021 had not yet been published.
But they have now. So let us shine a light on the latest demographic snapshot of old Blighty.
As we saw last time, France has become the epicenter of what Renaud Camus calls le Grand Remplacement in Europe.
But what about her neighbors?
Bassam Tibi, a Syrian-born professor who teaches in Gottingen, Germany, says:
Between the middle of the 20th and the beginning of the 21st century, the total number of Arabs increased from 80 million to 320 million. Today we can speak of about 400 million Arabs, of which 50% are under 20 years old. These only see a prospect for the future when fleeing to Europe.
That’s why Bernard Lewis in the quoted interview has suggested that Europe will be Arab-Islamic by the end of the 21st century. Ye’or also states: “Integration has generally failed.” Instead, “Islamization” is taking place.
Pew Research has crunched the numbers on Muslim immigration to Europe, giving a projection in 30 years if the inflows stay high (and there is no reason to believe they won't):
So what exactly does the data say about the demographic situation of France's neighbors? Let us take a look.
[This piece was originally published on June 30th 2022, but was erased due to a technical glitch. Happily, the Wayback Machine has saved our bacon. Here it is again.]
The recent presidential election in France saw a new face on the scene: That of Eric Zemmour.
His major campaign theme was that France's indigenous
population was being replaced by outsiders who are culturally foreign, with the
zealous support of the globalist right and the open-borders left.
The name of this transformation? 'The Great Replacement.'
This notion is endorsed explicitly by Eric Zemmour's Reconquest party, and implicitly by Marine LePen's National Rally. Together, these two parties gobbled up 30% of the votes, more than President Macron's centrist Republic on the Move party (28%).
The Great Replacement is an idea referred to as 'far-right' by the mainstream press, implying that it is somehow a marginal notion.
Yet opinion polls in France show that this belief is anything
but extreme. No less than sixty-one percent of French voters think that it is a
reality.
Are they right?
And what of the rest Europe? And the Anglosphere?
We recently did a deep-dive into the 2020 U.S. Census numbers, showing the demographic changes over a century in America's largest cities.
Today we take a more zoomed-in view, looking at the changes from 1980 to 2020. Our British Isles founding fathers launched a nation 'for ourselves and our posterity;' that nation is slowly but surely ebbing away.
What do the numbers say?
Nearly ten years ago, after
the 2010 U.S. Census results came out, we did a deep-dive into the shifting ethnic
make-up of America's cities.
Delayed due to Covid, the 2020 Census numbers are finally out. So here’s our ‘Who’s Fleeing Whom?’ series, updated for 2020.
* * *
Why did we write this piece?
Though black criminality in North America has always surpassed that of Euros, separating oneself from Afro neighbors was not
difficult for the first 350 years of British North America / the United
States. Even in the North, segregation in housing was permitted de
facto where it was not de jure.
The 'Great Migration,' waves of Afros moving from the South to the
North, began in earnest in 1910, with its second wave after WWII (1945).
However, the flight of
Euro-Americans out of the cities did not truly begin until Blacks were free
to live where they pleased-- the 1960s. Since then, a sort of
merry-go-round has ensued: Whites, suffering under Afro dysfunction, flee
to suburbs, only to be pursued by the Talented Tenth fleeing same. The latter are
followed, as night follows day, by the Untalented Nine-Tenths, who
promptly re-create the urban chaos they left behind. Euro-Americans are
forced to pack up, and the musical chairs begin again.
We can in fact watch the
flight unfold before our eyes via U.S. Census numbers.
1910: Before the Great Migration got underway: Our first figures (where available).
1960: Just before the end of Segregation.
1980: Fast-forward
twenty years to see what the first wave of 'White Flight' has wrought.
2020: Finally, the
most recent figures. Enter en masse Hispanics,
who did not even exist as a census category two generations ago, and Asians,
who have flooded in recently.
So, one-fifth of the way into our new century : Who's fleeing whom?
The death in police custody last year of a violent
felon whose heart stopped while resisting arrest led to the worst rioting in
U.S. history.
It has also led to much soul-searching, as Blacks in America wonder if they can continue to live side-by-side with Whites.
There is increasing evidence that Afro-Americans are simply not comfortable bending to the strictures and customs enforced by Euro-Americans. They feel pushed aside, hemmed in, and held down.
So, despite fighting for centuries to have equal access to white spaces, today more and more black voices are rising to call for racial separation.
What is the evidence for this surprising phenomenon?
To what could it lead?
Nearly ten years ago, after the 2010 U.S. Census results came out, we did a deep-dive into the shifts in ethnic make-up of America's cities.
At this moment, the full 2020 Census figures are being crunched. As soon as they are out, we shall update this piece to reflect the new face of these metropolises, some of which we suspect will have changed radically in the last ten years.
As we wait for the new numbers, let's revisit the data up until 2010... and predict what changes are about to be revealed.
Why did we write this piece? Though black criminality in
North America has always surpassed that of Euros, separating oneself from Afro neighbors was not difficult for the first 350
years of British North America / the United States. Even in the North,
segregation in housing was permitted de facto where it was not de
jure.
The 'Great Migration,' waves of Afros moving from
the South to the North, began in earnest in 1910, with its second wave after
WWII (1945).
However, the flight of
Euro-Americans out of the cities did not truly begin until Blacks were free to live where they pleased-- the 1960s. Since
then, a sort of merry-go-round has ensued: Whites, suffering under Afro
dysfunction, flee to suburbs, only to be pursued by the Talented Tenth fleeing same. The
latter are followed, as night follows day, by the Untalented Nine-Tenths,
who promptly re-create the urban hellscapes they left behind. Euro-Americans
are forced to pack up, and the musical chairs begin again. Section 8 vouchers have revved this carousel up
to warp speed.
We can in fact watch the flight unfold before our eyes via U.S. Census numbers.
We give the figures from 1960, just before Segregation ended.
We then fast-forward twenty years to 1980 to see what the first wave of 'White Flight' has wrought.
Finally, we give the most recent figures (2010), which contain some surprises, especially re: Hispanics, who did not even exist as a census category two generations ago.
For selected cities, we have also given the figures from 1910, before the Great Migration got underway. Asians have been included where their historic presence has been strongest.
So: Who's fleeing whom?
We start with the Midwest,
industrial center and destination of choice for the Great Migrators:
We are currently working on a reader-requested piece on the question, ‘How exactly should a government deal with a massive underclass of hostile immigrants?’, to be published around the holidays.
But as we have not breached the question of the U.S. election and its aftermath, here is a quick data round-up. From Boston University:
A recent Washington Post headline says: “In America, talk turns to something not spoken of for 150 years: Civil war.” The story references, among others, Stanford University historian Victor Davis Hanson, who asked in a National Review essay last summer: “How, when, and why has the United States now arrived at the brink of a veritable civil war?”
Another Washington Post story reports how Iowa Republican Congressman Steve King recently posted a meme warning that red states have “8 trillion bullets” in the event of a civil war. And a poll conducted last June by Rasmussen Reports found that 31% of probable US voters surveyed believe “it’s likely that the United States will experience a second civil war sometime in the next five years.”
Leftists have never digested Trump’s 2016 surprise victory, and conservatives see fraud in Biden’s squeaker of a win last month. ‘Blue’ and ‘Red’ America seem more hostile to each other than ever.
Far-leftists Antifa and Black Lives Matter spent the summer burning and looting America’s cities, whilst regular citizens defending themselves from rioters were pursued in the courts. All this in the midst of a pandemic whose 'lockdowns' have bent civil liberties to the breaking point. A sense of anarcho-tyranny seems to have set in, and many fear civil unrest could turn (or has turned) into low-grade civil war.
For some it is a political divide which threatens our national unity, for others it is a racial one. And some are just whistling past the graveyard:
Are these fears founded? Are America's divisions too deep to overcome? If so, what comes next?
Having researched these questions before, we’d like to
bring some data to the fore.
