31 May 2020

Whence the Minneapolis Riots?




Before we publish our newest material, we’d like to take a moment to share some data that may help put America’s latest riots into context.

In Minneapolis, a suspect resisting arrest has died after a policeman kneeled on his neck for several minutes.


Minneapolis is a midwestern city peopled largely by the remnants of 19th-century Scandinavian and German settlers. Its citizens tend to be progressive, tolerant fans of immigration. They are known to be mild-mannered and avoid conflict, summed up in the phrase 'Minnesota nice.'

But this incident, especially the photo above whose knee-on-neck so viscerally evokes old lynching photos, has led to mass violence, looting, and arson not only in Minnesota but all over the country.


But what does not make the international headlines--not ever--is that in the United States, a white man is killed by the cops every 15 hours. 


Death by cop--to general indifference

When a white man is killed by the police, not only do Whites not riot, they don’t even seem to lift an eyebrow.

It is possible to consult a list of all killings by U.S. policemen: Unsurprisingly, the vast majority (from all races) are the result of a suspect lunging at police with a weapon, generally a knife or gun. But a great many are not.

So why does the white community shrug when one of their own is struck down, while the black community treats these incidents as worthy of burning down cities?


Are Blacks really affected disproportionately by police violence?

Brian Burghart aims to find out. His database Fatal Encounters exhaustively tracks racial data on civilian deaths in the U.S. caused by police encounters.

Over the last 20 years, they count 28,126 total deaths due to encounters with the police. (Causes: shooting, vehicular death, taser, medical event, asphyxiation, drugs.)

47% of them were white, 27% black, 16% Hispanic, 2% Asian (6% were race unspecified).

The 2010 census (which falls square in the middle of this period) showed the U.S. population to be 62% white, 13% black, 16% Hispanic, and 5% Asian. This means that by race, rates of death-by-police per population group look like this:


Thus, blacks are roughly two and half times more likely to die in an encounter with the police than whites. They’re a little more than twice as likely as Hispanics to die this way, and a whopping five times more likely than Asians.

But do all Americans have brushes with the police at the same rate? Instead of just comparing the 'Fatal Encounters’ data to the general population, it would be more useful to compare it to the population that has encounters with law enforcement. If one out of 100 Blacks who have police run-ins die from them, but only 1 out of 1000 Whites who have police run-ins do, then that tells us something more salient.

What does the data say? 

Department of Justice arrest records for the year 2018 report 7,710,900 total arrests (all crimes), of which Whites made up 69%, Blacks 27%, and Asians 1.4%. 

(Hispanics, which are not broken out from White / Black, are listed as 19%.  We estimate, based on Census statistics, that of that 19%, roughly 17% have been placed into the “White” category and 2% into the “Black” category. We have thus adjusted the White rate from 69% to 52%, and the Black rate from 27% to 25%.)

So, national arrest rates vs. % of the general population look like this:


To put these two graphs side-by-side:



These numbers are not terribly far off from each other. So it would seem that as a general rule, each ethnic group is killed in run-ins with police at roughly the same rate as that group is officially arrested by the police. It just so happens that Blacks draw serious police attention more than Whites do—but also more than Hispanics do, and far more than Asians do.

So the real question is, why do Blacks have so many more brushes with the police than other groups?

We have researched this question at length, and would like to share some data.

It turns out that throughout history, persons of Sub-Saharan African descent have had more trouble with the law, including:




For a very long time, then, and in many countries outside the U.S., Blacks have had more run-ins with law enforcement than other ethnic groups.

But why is this the case?

We explore the data in depth here:


In addition, there are some interesting parallels between Blacks’ regular run-ins with the law and their tendency to alienate white neighbors, explored here:


We hope you will find this data of use in helping to analyze current events unfolding in America.




Update: A word about the mass spread of these protests around the world:




Over the last week, public protests over this incident have spread like wildfire around the whitest parts of the globe, drawing crowds of thousands.





Every major actor, singer, sports star, and politician has released a statement about Floyd's death. Late-night talk shows, once a haven of light humor, have become 60s-style consciousness-raising rap sessions.





Major corporations have bombarded social media to announce they're down with the struggle.




(See it all and so much more at Woke Capital.)


Boris JohnsonAngela Merkel, and even the Pope have all weighed in on this important international incident.


As a reminder, not since the 1960s race riots has America seen multiple cities go up in flames. 



And not since the 2003 Iraq War protests (800 cities worldwide) has the entire planet marched in anger over America.



So how to explain the current worldwide outrage over a depressingly common but isolated instance of American police brutality? We suspect the causes to be many:


  • Coronavirus lockdown: Young people have been cooped up for months with none of their usual outlets--sports, concerts, festivals, bars, parties, nightclubs. Suppressed energy is waiting to burst.
  • Mass unemployment: Coronavirus has led to tens of millions of job losses in the first world, especially the U.S. This is a way to express despair.
  • Trump anger: Lingering rage at Trump's 2016 victory, failure at all attempts to depose him by soft coup (Russiagate, etc.). Non-stop media drumbeat that he's the next Hitler.
  • Riot cycles: We haven't seen big race riots since the bloody days of Obama's tenure, and it was simply 'time.'
  • Far left revolution: The highly-organized nature of the white rioting has led some to believe big-pocketed fomenters of 'color revolutions' are using Antifa as foot soldiers in yet another coup attempt.


The fact is that although the U.S. is undergoing the least racist period in its history, and is indeed now one of the least racist places in human history, its citizens are convinced that just the opposite is true.

When politicians, policemen, and soldiers kneel in 'solidarity' while dozens of cities burn, this gesture might puzzle us.



Having observed Afro behavior on North American soil for 400 years, Euro-Americans all know deep down that these people are profoundly different from themselves. They struggle to think abstractly, to plan ahead, to delay gratification, to contain their own aggression. Blacks themselves joke about their own foibles endlessly. This is why black crime rates have always and everywhere been higher than other groups'.

No amount of affirmative action (job, school and civil service quotas), busing, set-asides, welfare, free home loans, Hollywood pandering, bowing and scraping from leftists, or white self-flagellation has seemed to improve their behavior one iota.

Everyone in the U.S. knows that Afro-Americans' problems with the police are 95% of their own making. (George Floyd's death is the exception, not the rule.)

White Americans may be sensing more and more, even subconsciously, that their black brethren are simply incapable of doing better. That this group seems to be born with a kind of behavioral handicap which afflicts their neighborhoods, schools, companies, and the cities and countries they run. And there is nothing ethnic Euros can do to fix it.


Deep down, we suspect, that is why so many around the world are taking the knee: It is quite simply a human tragedy with no solution. 

And all we can offer are empty gestures.







Thank you for reading.

Please stop by again for our first new piece post-hiatus, coming very soon.

Godspeed.


9 comments:

Anonymous said...

P O W E R F U L !!!
Thank you for helping spreading the real truth on this insane notion that only American negroes are being killed by the police departments across America. I’ve never heard of one of the names of those White faces shown on your powerful blog post. Hence that bias we’ve all pointed out on the right for years and years. Because it’s real, and showing those (non reported by the Marxist media) dead White faces helps prove that. I support the law and order. And I definitely support and want to thank our police departments all across this country.
And as always you knock every pitch out of the park!
In this day and age when TRUTHS & FACTS be damned , we need real FACTS & TRUTH finders to help us real people make our way through this minority infested urban areas mess.

Desdichado said...

The more white people with nothing to be guilty about rush forward to show their submission to demands for blackgeld, the more we will see demands for blackgeld. This will get worse over time, not better, because of the response of Americans to the insane demands of Fake Americans among us.

Anonymous said...

"When a white man is killed by the police, not only do Whites not riot, they don’t even seem to lift an eyebrow."

The reality is that the white families and their friends, along with the media, put the screws to the police in those instances, which resulted in firings and lawsuits. Of course, you are trying to compare apples to oranges comparing separate incidents of conduct with perpetual, systemic behavior.

"Department of Justice arrest records for the year 2018 report 7,710,900 total arrests (all crimes), of which Whites made up 69%, Blacks 27%, and Asians 1.4%."

Important distinction here that must be provided--The FBI’s Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program counts one arrest for each separate instance in which a person is arrested, cited, or summoned for an offense. The UCR Program collects arrest data on 28 offenses, as described in Offense Definitions. Because a person may be arrested multiple times during a year, the UCR arrest figures DO NOT reflect the number of individuals who have been arrested; rather, the arrest data show the number of times that persons are arrested, as reported by law enforcement agencies to the UCR Program.

"It turns out that throughout history, persons of Sub-Saharan African descent have had more trouble with the law, including: Post-Civil War era United States"

The historical context is lost here. Historian Roger Lane in his work "Violence In Black Philadelphia: 1860-1900" revealed how social and economic discrimination created a black criminal subculture. This subculture, overlooked by those histories depending on often inaccurate census materials, eroded family patterns, encouraged violence, discouraged efforts at middle-class respectability, and intensified employment problems by adding white fear to the white prejudice that had helped to create it. In other words, twentieth-century black violence, according to Lane, is a function of the institutions and habits of the nineteenth century.

Lane’s scholarship centered on the City of Brotherly Love. Blacks shared the commercial district with native-born and migrant Philadelphians. The licensing of professions (e.g. physician, lawyer) and businesses of leisure (e.g. bars, restaurants), which required a $2000 bond and a $500 licensing fee, in the late 1800’s was cost prohibitive. Moreover, legal black establishments enabled men and women from different races and ethnic backgrounds to co-mingle, and in a number of instances the combination of liquor, woman, and dance became “disorderly conduct” and grounds to refuse new licenses to black applicants who could afford the fees.

Thus, black businesses continued to operate illegally and became centers for prostitution and gambling where patrons regardless of color and background were allowed. Denied the outlet of the legal system, the businessmen settled disputes privately and violently. Lane argues that the historic roots of black crime are in part the result of a different social psychology resulting from blacks’ exclusion from the dominant experience with factories, bureaucracy, and schooling. Political subordination and dependence historically made the urban “vice district” largely congruent with the “black district”.

Anonymous said...

[Continued]

As far as black murder rates in this city, Lane discusses how…

[it] remained at relatively low levels during the Civil War years and after, the period that witnessed the 13th, 14th, and 15th Amendments…In the years between 1860 and 1869, the rate was 6.4 per 100,000 annually. The next decade with the evidence failure of Reconstruction and the assassination of Octavius Catto, and continued through a major depression and the frustrating inability to win political office in the city, the rate leapt up dramatically to 10.8. Then came the expansive 1880’s, the period when Philadelphia’s Afro-Americans made their first modest political gains…The murder rate dropped down sharply to 7.2. But the 1890’s were a different era, with the nearly simultaneous deaths of Gil Ball and the Force Bill and continued through an increase in lynchings and a systematic denial of the vote in the South, another national depression…the rate accordingly jumped again to 11.4…All of these sources of violent behavior were related to each other in terms of not only their common roots of white prejudice but also their effects.

Each reinforced the other in an upward spiral that contrasted sharply with the downward spiral in criminal behavior experienced by most other Philadelphians. And that upward spiral had an impact which reached well beyond the official statistics or the events recorded in the daily press, to affect the attitudes and behavior of virtually all of the city’s Afro-Americans, whatever their habits, class, or occupations…The conditions of black life in Philadelphia, or indeed anywhere in the late nineteenth century, meant that “respectability” was always a precarious quality. The Afro-American elite of educators, professionals, civil servants, and legitimate entrepreneurs shared the same fundamental values as their white counterparts. These values, tirelessly encouraged by the black press, included in addition to simply material success those standards summarized in the motto of the Citizens’ Republican Club: We Believe In Education, Morality, And Equality Under The Law”.

None of these virtues were easy to achieve or sustain. A special problem was symbolized by the emblazoning of the motto itself on a parade banner intended for display before primarily white crowds. Respectability was matter not only of achievement but of recognition. And recognition by the dominant white group was critically important for those blacks who sought to win respectability both for themselves and their families and, through their own success, for the whole of their race. In this situation the growth of an active criminal subculture, led by a large and powerful class of illegal entrepreneurs, posed multiple problems for the legitimate black elite. [Inevitably, the threat from] whites, where hostility and contempt seized upon any evidence of black unrespectability, especially of vice or violence, to reinforce stereotypes about the whole of the race. Black leaders tried to mount intellectual and social defenses in order to bolster their own morale, protect their own values, and uphold the reputation of Afro-Americans as a group [which still had the stigma attached to them as being from an inferior biological and sociological stock].

Anonymous said...

"W.H. Collins wrote near the turn of the century: Again, the susceptibility of the Negro to disease is another very potent reason for segregation laws...Today, there remain significant differences in disease outcomes by racial group."

This source addresses Collins distinct bias on the matter and also puts into proper context the disease differences by race.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK220337/

“During the 1930s, real estate agents, appraisers, and lenders all became obsessed with neighborhood risk ratings.”

You mean citizens of these neighborhoods became increasingly concerned about the value of their homes as a result of the 1929 stock market crash, considering that this asset represented an investment in their future. As a result of banks now becoming more ensconced in the home mortgage business, naturally they would scrutinize who they would loan money to what people. WASP lenders at that time did not consider certain ethnic groups, like the Italians and Slavs, to be “wise” investments given their propensity for their questionable living habits.

“Afro population was only one 'risk factor' among many…those communities which are redlined overwhelmingly populated by whites.”

You mean populated by undesirable ethnic groups who were deemed a significant financial and behavioral risk. WASP-owned banks in particular were not fond of their historic neighborhoods being overrun by inferior groups, especially Eastern and Southern Europeans. While assuredly blacks were on the bottom of the rung, the Italians and Slavs were only slightly better given their propensity to “ruin nice things”.

“Black home ownership shot up during the redlining era…”

It dramatically increased because they moved into traditional “white” neighborhoods, with the European breeds moving out to newer environs. Of course banks would provide the newcomers with loans, with city approval, so the tax base would not suffer anymore than it had to...in those areas. However, when blacks wanted to move out to the newer environs as their white counterparts, they were denied, even if whites were willing to sell their house to them. Furthermore, neighborhood upkeep today primarily deals with social class, not race, specifically when it comes to slum landlords and gentrification.

https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/ireland-s-slum-landlords-have-little-to-fear-today-as-a-century-ago-1.3286354

http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/berlin-s-gentrification-row-locals-rage-against-rising-rents-a-784966-2.html

As far as “back in the day”, immigrant families fresh off the boat, as well as second or third generation, similar to their black brethren lived in dilapidated tenements with little to no running water, with a lack of consistent garbage collection, as well as children left unattended. 

In addition, the susceptibility of immigrants AND blacks to disease was a potent force in the late 1800 and early 1900’s which led to significant numbers of Eastern and Southern Europeans to be deported because of their afflictions. The notion that segregation laws for blacks is justified due to their apparent ill-health is a red herring. And the correlation between “diverse neighborhoods” and negative health for whites, based on a single study, was admittedly weak by the authors, who stressed that a person’s individual health may play a more prominent role.

luke2236 said...

anon 5:49 is clueless.
The FACT is that blacks cannot exist peacefully in white societies; we have given and given and given; they are handed jobs, free everything, and most usually not even prosecuted for crimes and they still act like...well, act like negroes. Oh, there are exceptions, but teh exception proves the rule. Face it - they are DIFFERENT and cannot, nor do they even want to, function in polite, Western society. And the more they are mollycoddled and not punished for aberrant behaviour, the worse the have, and will, get. No amount of whining, [false] virtue siganlling or screaming 'rayciss' will change that fact.

M.G. said...

I think the Anon is our old friend Yankee Imperialist. I have repeatedly asked this very nice young person to refrain from posting here, as the comment section at TWCS is reserved for people who are aware of the reality of HBD, but he is extremely enthusiastic about sharing his strongly-felt convictions with our audience.

I will leave up the above comments, but will regretfully not be publishing any more in the future.

I wish you well on life's journey, Yankee Imperialist. Godspeed.

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