24 February 2021

Hong Kong Flu vs. Covid: Descent into Hysteria

[We’re working on our next big piece; today's is in response to a reader request.]

 

Any of our ancestors who lived through the Spanish Flu would have likely qualified the worldwide reaction to Covid-19 last year  as a ‘mass hysteria.’

 


The 1918-19 pandemic touched one third of humanity and felled millions in the prime of their life—its peak mortality age was 28. 

 

CoronaVirus Disease 2019, a.k.a Covid 19, however, is its mirror image: it kills almost exclusively the very old or the very obese. Yet due to this virus whose under-70 fatality rate is .05% (that’s one-twentieth of one percent),  the entire Western world simply shut down its societies wholesale.

 

Not only cinemas and stadiums, but shops, schools, factories, construction sites: all shuttered. In France, one could no longer volunteer at an animal shelter or give blood. All non-GPs—dentists, gynecologists, dermatologists—were forced to close. Courts ceased to function. Airports shut down. Parliament went virtual.

Piazza del Duomo, Milan, 2020

No one had seen anything like it in the whole of human history--not even in wartime.

One may look back at our forebears in 1918 with awe: The young people who managed to avoid being massacred in the grisliest war in human history then dropped like flies in the ensuing worldwide pandemic, whilst the older generation survived unscathed. Has humanity ever seen such an immense killing field of its youngest and strongest in such a short span of time?

And yet the world still turned. While large public gatherings were discouraged, the word ‘lockdown’ was never pronounced or even imagined. Farming, factories, trade, construction, commerce all buzzed along as they always had. Schools and hair salons and parks remained open. The hecatomb of the Spanish Flu is barely remembered today.

‘Indeed,’ you may argue, ‘but of course one has to go back a hundred years to find a people hardy enough to weather a viral pandemic with equanimity.’

 

As it happens, one does not.

 

While Covid raged throughout 2020, curious French researchers snuck a peek into the medical archives. They were astonished at what they found: Only 50 years ago, in 1969, a Covid-like flu had swept through the Western world-- but in newspapers of the time it barely merited a mention. There was no state of emergency, no daily death count, no mass shutdowns. 

No panic.

 

The gravity of the enigmatic ‘Hong Kong Flu’ had entirely escaped French historians because at the time, no statistical agency (of which France had many) thought to tally up its deaths. It took until 2005 and researchers inspired by SARS for the French authorities to even remember that there had been an epidemic in 1969. 

Covid re-awakened our taste for all things pandemical, and last year led historians to fine-tune the numbers even more. 

That’s when they realized that at 2020 population levels, the Hong Kong Flu would have been nearly as deadly as Covid-19.

 

So how could the outcome of such a virus have gone from ‘blip on the radar’ to ‘planet-wide pants-soiling’ in the space of just fifty short years? A French documentary crew from LCP  News Channel aimed to find out. 

We share their discoveries with you here.

 

 

So take a walk with us down memory lane, to a time, within living memory, when an epidemic virus could tear through a first-world country and earn barely a shrug in response. Visit the less-feminized world of our recent forebears, and marvel at how our society has in the space of two generations become hystericized to the point of total paralysis.

 

Accompagnez-nous into another world.  

 

20 January 2021

Capitol Siege: What Fissures Await?

The storming of the Capitol by Trump fans at the January 6th election count has rocked the country. As the polarization of 21st century America deepens, pundits are scrambling for a comparison. Is this like the 1861 Civil War? The 1773 Boston Tea Party? Is it like the color revolutions we secretly fund abroad? Is it going to lead to a partition, like in India? Or to self-segregation and mutual hostility, like in Northern Ireland? 

Is America as we know it over and done?

Since our first great scission in 1861, many have predicted another split. Back in 2010, think tanker Jeffrey Kuhner reacted to the passage of Obamacare:

President Obama is splintering America. The passage of Obamacare was a historic victory for liberal governance. Yet, its true cost may be that it triggers the eventual breakup of the country.

The Obama revolution threatens to tear America apart. ... The bitter debate over Obamacare has exposed the country’s profound divisions. We are no longer one nation or one people. Rather, there are now two Americas: one conservative, the other liberal. Increasingly, we no longer just disagree but we despise each other.

Trump has also aroused such sentiments, as from pundit Elizabeth Drew in ‘The Next Civil War?’:

Although US President Donald Trump has long hid his tax records and history of business failings, he has never made any secret of his willingness to destroy the US constitutional order if doing so will give him a political advantage. Not since the eve of the Civil War has America been so on edge.

 

Here at TWCS we recently looked at the deepening left/right split and possible break-up scenarios.  But are there societies that have already gone down this path? Where does it lead? What can we learn from them?

06 December 2020

2020 Election: The Beginning of the End?

We are currently working on a reader-requested piece on the question, ‘How exactly should a government deal with a massive underclass of hostile immigrants?’, to be published around the holidays.

But as we have not breached the question of the U.S. election and its aftermath, here is a quick data round-up. From Boston University:

A recent Washington Post headline says: “In America, talk turns to something not spoken of for 150 years: Civil war.” The story references, among others, Stanford University historian Victor Davis Hanson, who asked in a National Review essay last summer: “How, when, and why has the United States now arrived at the brink of a veritable civil war?

Another Washington Post story reports how Iowa Republican Congressman Steve King recently posted a meme warning that red states have “8 trillion bullets” in the event of a civil war. And a poll conducted last June by Rasmussen Reports found that 31% of probable US voters surveyed believe “it’s likely that the United States will experience a second civil war sometime in the next five years.”

Leftists have never digested Trump’s 2016 surprise victory, and conservatives see fraud in Biden’s squeaker of a win last month. ‘Blue’ and ‘Red’ America seem more hostile to each other than ever.

Far-leftists Antifa and Black Lives Matter spent the summer burning and looting America’s cities, whilst regular citizens defending themselves from rioters were pursued in the courts. All this in the midst of a pandemic whose 'lockdowns' have bent civil liberties to the breaking point. A sense of anarcho-tyranny seems to have set in, and many fear civil unrest could turn (or has turned) into low-grade civil war. 

For some it is a political divide which threatens our national unity, for others it is a racial one. And some are just whistling past the graveyard:

 

Are these fears founded? Are America's divisions too deep to overcome? If so, what comes next?

 

Having researched these questions before, we’d like to bring some data to the fore.

 

18 October 2020

The Decapitation of France


                                                               Image source—Careful, extremely disturbing photo at link


In the suburbs of Paris on Friday, a man shouting 'Allah Akbar!' decapitated a middle school teacher who was on his way home.

 

Why? Charlie Hebdo is why.

 

Five years ago, 12 reporters at satirical magazine Charlie Hebdo were massacred during their morning editorial meeting in Paris by Arab jihadis. (We wrote about it at the time: 'Is Nothing Sacred?')


So to understand the real meaning of what happened Friday, we must go back a bit:

 

 

31 August 2020

The Black Struggle: A Reader



America is in the grip of a reckoning. George Floyd’s death in police custody in May set off a national paroxysm of protests, riots, arson, and vandalism. White people in government, academia, the press, big business, and Hollywood are begging for absolution for their sins. As many have pointed out, it bears all the signs of a Great Awakening.


Why now? In a recent piece, we gave several reasons for this tumult:

30 June 2020

Fall of the Empire, Thy Name is... Woman?


[This is our first new content in over a year... Thanks for your patience!]


This past March, as the coronavirus raged, 'International Women's Day' would be the last major public gathering for many months. The UN's Antonio Gutierrez remarked:
Men have used and abused power to control women and prevent them from achieving their potential for millennia. Deep-rooted patriarchy and misogyny have created a yawning gender power gap in our economies, our political systems, our corporations, our societies and our culture.
Women are still very frequently denied a voice; their opinions are ignored and their experience discounted. There is no justification for women’s continued exclusion. 

It's true that for most of human history, women and their way of seeing the world have been shut out from the halls of power. In the late 18th century, antiquarian Thomas Amyot summed up the spirit of the age by claiming that women were
‘formed for the lighter duties of Life,’ because of the ‘delicacy of their Frames, the Sensibility of their Dispositions, and, above all the Caprice of their Tempers.’ He proclaimed: ‘A virtuous wife and an affectionate Mother are perhaps the most amiable Characters in the Universe. To these Characters let every female aspire and let us hear no more of the Rights of Woman.’ 


In 1871 Madeleine Dahlgren, writer, poet, and founder of the Literary Society of Washington, led a petition before Congress asking them not to give women the vote:
The advocates of female suffrage claim that if women had the right to vote they would purify legislation of many abuses. But, on the other hand, we hold that the new status will prove to be the worst kind of communism. 
… The mothers, sisters, and daughters of our glorious past will exist no more and the female gender will vanish into the epicene. Involved in one common ruin from our present proud preeminence, we shall become a laughing-stock and a by-word to the nations of the world. 
The special advantage as a safe advisor to man that woman holds at present arises entirely from the neutral ground she occupies in the political world. … The fact is, women reason less and feel more deeply than men. … Take woman out of her proper sphere, and in place of man's precious and true guide and best coadjutor she becomes his worst antagonist and enemy. (1)

But the sufragettes fought hard. At the height of the debates in 1917, feminist Olive Schreiner laid out their plans:
'For the present we take all labor for our provinceFrom the judge's seat to the legislator's chair; from the stateman's closet to the merchant's desk; from the chemist's laboratory to the astronomer's tower, there is no post or form of toil for which it is not our intention to fit ourselves. There is no closed door we do not intend to force open, no fruit in the garden of knowledge it is not our determination to eat.' (2)
In the ensuing century, not only has all this come to pass, but the feminine spirit has seeped into every nook and cranny of Western society. Have the results been to our benefit?


31 May 2020

Whence the Minneapolis Riots?




Before we publish our newest material, we’d like to take a moment to share some data that may help put America’s latest riots into context.

In Minneapolis, a suspect resisting arrest has died after a policeman kneeled on his neck for several minutes.


Minneapolis is a midwestern city peopled largely by the remnants of 19th-century Scandinavian and German settlers. Its citizens tend to be progressive, tolerant fans of immigration. They are known to be mild-mannered and avoid conflict, summed up in the phrase 'Minnesota nice.'

But this incident, especially the photo above whose knee-on-neck so viscerally evokes old lynching photos, has led to mass violence, looting, and arson not only in Minnesota but all over the country.


But what does not make the international headlines--not ever--is that in the United States, a white man is killed by the cops every 15 hours. 


Death by cop--to general indifference

When a white man is killed by the police, not only do Whites not riot, they don’t even seem to lift an eyebrow.

It is possible to consult a list of all killings by U.S. policemen: Unsurprisingly, the vast majority (from all races) are the result of a suspect lunging at police with a weapon, generally a knife or gun. But a great many are not.

So why does the white community shrug when one of their own is struck down, while the black community treats these incidents as worthy of burning down cities?


Are Blacks really affected disproportionately by police violence?

Brian Burghart aims to find out. His database Fatal Encounters exhaustively tracks racial data on civilian deaths in the U.S. caused by police encounters.

Over the last 20 years, they count 28,126 total deaths due to encounters with the police. (Causes: shooting, vehicular death, taser, medical event, asphyxiation, drugs.)

47% of them were white, 27% black, 16% Hispanic, 2% Asian (6% were race unspecified).

The 2010 census (which falls square in the middle of this period) showed the U.S. population to be 62% white, 13% black, 16% Hispanic, and 5% Asian. This means that by race, rates of death-by-police per population group look like this:


Thus, blacks are roughly two and half times more likely to die in an encounter with the police than whites. They’re a little more than twice as likely as Hispanics to die this way, and a whopping five times more likely than Asians.

But do all Americans have brushes with the police at the same rate? Instead of just comparing the 'Fatal Encounters’ data to the general population, it would be more useful to compare it to the population that has encounters with law enforcement. If one out of 100 Blacks who have police run-ins die from them, but only 1 out of 1000 Whites who have police run-ins do, then that tells us something more salient.

What does the data say? 

Department of Justice arrest records for the year 2018 report 7,710,900 total arrests (all crimes), of which Whites made up 69%, Blacks 27%, and Asians 1.4%. 

(Hispanics, which are not broken out from White / Black, are listed as 19%.  We estimate, based on Census statistics, that of that 19%, roughly 17% have been placed into the “White” category and 2% into the “Black” category. We have thus adjusted the White rate from 69% to 52%, and the Black rate from 27% to 25%.)

So, national arrest rates vs. % of the general population look like this:


To put these two graphs side-by-side:



These numbers are not terribly far off from each other. So it would seem that as a general rule, each ethnic group is killed in run-ins with police at roughly the same rate as that group is officially arrested by the police. It just so happens that Blacks draw serious police attention more than Whites do—but also more than Hispanics do, and far more than Asians do.

So the real question is, why do Blacks have so many more brushes with the police than other groups?

We have researched this question at length, and would like to share some data.

It turns out that throughout history, persons of Sub-Saharan African descent have had more trouble with the law, including:




For a very long time, then, and in many countries outside the U.S., Blacks have had more run-ins with law enforcement than other ethnic groups.

But why is this the case?

We explore the data in depth here:


In addition, there are some interesting parallels between Blacks’ regular run-ins with the law and their tendency to alienate white neighbors, explored here:


We hope you will find this data of use in helping to analyze current events unfolding in America.




Update: A word about the mass spread of these protests around the world:




Over the last week, public protests over this incident have spread like wildfire around the whitest parts of the globe, drawing crowds of thousands.





Every major actor, singer, sports star, and politician has released a statement about Floyd's death. Late-night talk shows, once a haven of light humor, have become 60s-style consciousness-raising rap sessions.





Major corporations have bombarded social media to announce they're down with the struggle.




(See it all and so much more at Woke Capital.)


Boris JohnsonAngela Merkel, and even the Pope have all weighed in on this important international incident.


As a reminder, not since the 1960s race riots has America seen multiple cities go up in flames. 



And not since the 2003 Iraq War protests (800 cities worldwide) has the entire planet marched in anger over America.



So how to explain the current worldwide outrage over a depressingly common but isolated instance of American police brutality? We suspect the causes to be many:


  • Coronavirus lockdown: Young people have been cooped up for months with none of their usual outlets--sports, concerts, festivals, bars, parties, nightclubs. Suppressed energy is waiting to burst.
  • Mass unemployment: Coronavirus has led to tens of millions of job losses in the first world, especially the U.S. This is a way to express despair.
  • Trump anger: Lingering rage at Trump's 2016 victory, failure at all attempts to depose him by soft coup (Russiagate, etc.). Non-stop media drumbeat that he's the next Hitler.
  • Riot cycles: We haven't seen big race riots since the bloody days of Obama's tenure, and it was simply 'time.'
  • Far left revolution: The highly-organized nature of the white rioting has led some to believe big-pocketed fomenters of 'color revolutions' are using Antifa as foot soldiers in yet another coup attempt.


The fact is that although the U.S. is undergoing the least racist period in its history, and is indeed now one of the least racist places in human history, its citizens are convinced that just the opposite is true.

When politicians, policemen, and soldiers kneel in 'solidarity' while dozens of cities burn, this gesture might puzzle us.



Having observed Afro behavior on North American soil for 400 years, Euro-Americans all know deep down that these people are profoundly different from themselves. They struggle to think abstractly, to plan ahead, to delay gratification, to contain their own aggression. Blacks themselves joke about their own foibles endlessly. This is why black crime rates have always and everywhere been higher than other groups'.

No amount of affirmative action (job, school and civil service quotas), busing, set-asides, welfare, free home loans, Hollywood pandering, bowing and scraping from leftists, or white self-flagellation has seemed to improve their behavior one iota.

Everyone in the U.S. knows that Afro-Americans' problems with the police are 95% of their own making. (George Floyd's death is the exception, not the rule.)

White Americans may be sensing more and more, even subconsciously, that their black brethren are simply incapable of doing better. That this group seems to be born with a kind of behavioral handicap which afflicts their neighborhoods, schools, companies, and the cities and countries they run. And there is nothing ethnic Euros can do to fix it.


Deep down, we suspect, that is why so many around the world are taking the knee: It is quite simply a human tragedy with no solution. 

And all we can offer are empty gestures.







Thank you for reading.

Please stop by again for our first new piece post-hiatus, coming very soon.

Godspeed.


30 April 2020

The Madonna and the Whore



(The coronavirus crisis has plunged some into inactivity, while others are busier than ever. We fall into the latter camp. Thus we must slightly postpone our newest article. In the meantime, as a belated celebration of International Women's Day, we offer this re-print of our piece on the conundrum of Western Woman. We hope you will find it of interest. Stay tuned next month for new material!)


[Re-post, original post here.]

Cheerleaders of mass immigration from the South to the North have a number of arguments:

1) They spice up our lives:


'I think that's what makes many Swedes jealous of immigrant groups. You have a culture, an identity, a history, something that brings you together. And what do we have? We have Midsummer's Eve and such silly things.'
---Swedish Social Democrat MP Mona Sahlin, in a speech to the Turkish youth organization Euroturk, March, 2002.


2) They boost our standard of living:


'Various surveys of [London] employers come to the predictable conclusion that migrants are better employees: they are more highly skilled, work harder and are prepared to do jobs that locals disdain. They may also be more innovative. In America they are disproportionately responsible for tech start-ups; similarly, they are over-represented in Silicon Roundabout, the tech hub east of the City, ... firms set up or managed by migrants are more innovative.' 
---The Economist, opinion leader since 1843 for the elite and those who strive to join them


3) Diversity is a religious principle the Gods of Equalitarianism want us to uphold:


'I'm concerned that this increased speculation could cause a backlash against some of our Muslim soldiers ... Our diversity, not only in our Army, but in our country, is a strength. And as horrific as this tragedy was, if our diversity becomes a casualty, I think that’s worse.'

--George W. Casey, highest-ranking general in the U.S. Army, reacting to the Fort Hood army base shooting, in which a Palestinian army major cried 'Allahu Akbar!' while killing 13 and wounding 30.


One of the oddest things about such cheerleaders, especially in Europe, is their avid support of 'women's rights.'  Odd, because the peoples with which they long to fill up their countries share no such notion.  The proof is starting to bubble to the surface.  Besides the honor killingschild marriagesgenital mutilationpolygamy, and gender segregation these neo-colonists have brought to the West, they are starting to act out against the native populations.  The results give pause.