France is still reeling from the Islamist attacks against satirical rag Charlie Hebdo which killed 17.
As commenter Kolia points out, many of the murder victims weren't white indigenous French--an Arab and an Afro cop, four civilian Jews. Does this mean religion trumps race?
The truth is that Arab (and Afro) immigrants to France pose two different kinds of threat to the natives. The distinction should be made clear.
For Americans, one of these two will look very familiar, and one will not:
- (1) The daily incivility / insults / beatings / rapes perpetrated by Arabs / Blacks against indigenous white French. No religious aspect to it at all; pure ethnic minority alienation.
- (2) The ever-growing calls to bend French values to mirror those of their guests: Single-sex swimming pools, halal meals, legalized polygamy, criminalized blasphemy... The most extreme is the young man radicalized by an imam who tries to launch a caliphate by holy war.
All the world's a-tizzy about (2). While we admit Islam is a genuine threat to parts of Europe, we're going to swim against the tide and take a look at the more 'banal evil' of (1). Why? This is the everyday brutality the French must live with day in, day out, and it bears a striking resemblance to that aimed at Euro-Americans by their Afro countrymen. What can the data tell us about hopes of assimilating these two alien minorites on either side of the Atlantic?
I. Lashing out at the majority
Both Arabs in France and Afros in the U.S. have gained a reputation for vicious, unprovoked violence against the majority group.
1) Lashing out--Afros in the U.S.
Afros in the U.S. are known for their violent lashing out at non-Afros. It's been well-documented in its current form by Colin Flaherty, Paul Kersey, and Unamusement Park; as well as the fine folks at American Renaissance, Violence Against Whites, and Top Conservative News; and in its historical form by ourselves on a number of occasions.
For example, in the first week of December 2014,...
- Paul Birdsall, 71, Oklahoma City, robbed and beaten to death in his home by transient
- Unnamed man, Berkeley, CA, beaten with hammer by fellow protesters during anti-police protest
- William Kelley, 42, Sperry, Oklahoma, shot and killed by transient living on his property
- Brian Whitfield, 45, Auburn, Georgia, killed during home invasion
- Karen Pearce, 41, Decatur, Georgia, shot and killed randomly on a sidewalk
- Robin and Mani Aldridge, Charlottesville, VA, mother and daughter beaten to death in home by daughter's boyfriend
- Ashley Scott, 17, Lansing, MI, shot and killed by the man selling her marijuana
- Unnamed teen, 17, Philadelphia, randomly attacked in street, jaw and teeth broken
- Rip Alan Swartz, 46, Las Vegas, robbed and stabbed to death
- Diana Lawrence, 63, St. Louis, shot and killed during bar robbery
- Robert Caudill, 26, Lorain, Ohio, shot to death while delivering pizza
- David Ruenzel, 60, Oakland, CA, 'anti-racism' activist shot and killed while hiking
- Unnamed female college student, San Joaquin Delta College, Stockton, CA, stabbed in face with pen 'because she was a white girl'
- Zemir Begic, 32, St. Louis, killed in his car by a hammer-wielding mob
...And, we repeat, that's only one week.
Reverse the races on any one and we'd see CNN headlines for months; as is they are simple dog-bites-man stories, everyday black-on-white violence to which no one pays the slightest attention.
2) Lashing Out--Arabs/Afros in France
Undated black-on-white attack, Paris
Arabs (and to a lesser extent Afros) in France are known for similar random anti-white violence. Such things are tough to quantify in a country which forbids tracking criminals' ethnicity. This blog does the best job we've seen, with an entire section devoted just to the famous 'cigarette beating.'
- Fireman beaten by three 'youths' as he assists a bleeding victim, Metz, December 2014.
- Issam and 3 friends beat up a young couple in a supermarket for 'looking at them funny,' Toulouse, July 2014.
- Kassoum and friends rob, torture, and shoot currency exchange employee, Paris, November 2013.
- Younes and friend beat a man for refusing a cigarette, November 2013, Mulhouse.
- Algerian beats man at train station for refusing a cigarette, Le Havre, November 2013.
- 'Dark-skinned man' drags Marie, 18, from bus stop and rapes her, Cornebarrieu, November 2013.
- 67-year-old grandma thrown into the Garonne River by two men for refusing a cigarette, Toulouse, November 2013. [She gave a description to police, who chose not to share it with the press = 99% odds they were melanin-enhanced.]
- Mohamed stabs a man for refusing a cigarette, Toulouse, August 2013.
- Joseph and Sebastien [Afros] beat a young couple on a train platform for refusing a cigarette, Paris, August 2013.
- Youness and Merwann beat a street cleaner for refusing a cigarette, Nancy, July 2013.
- Local 'youths' throw stones at firemen and call them 'fucking honkies' as they try to save victims of fatal train derailment, Paris, July 2013.
- Two women insulted and beaten by three Moroccans for refusing a cigarette, Agen, June 2013.
- Rachid severely beats a woman at a bus stop for refusing a cigarette, Dijon, September 2012.
- M. Berkani beats a man for refusing a cigarette, attacks arresting officers, calls them 'fucking French bastards,' Besançon, August 2012.
- Knifed, scarred for life by five 'youths' for refusing a cigarette, Nice, March 2012.
- Abdelkader and friends beat and rob two men for refusing a cigarette, caught on camera, Toulouse, February 2012.
- Essouadi and friends violently carjack a group of friends, Nîmes, January 2012.
- Radhouane beats and robs a man for refusing a cigarette, Troyes, June 2011.
- Kader and friends beat a man to death for refusing a cigarette, Bollène, May 2011.
- Oualid and friends beat three men, for refusing a cigarette, Les Issambres, April 2011.
- Mohamed and friends handicap a cop by throwing a boulder onto him from a rooftop for fun, Paris, March 2011.
The similarities we see are the gratuitous nature of the violence--most often nothing is stolen, the beating and insults are for pure pleasure--as well as frequent racial slurs. We can read here a sense of alienation, lack of belonging, even inferiority. But where does it come from? This lashing out is perhaps more symptom than illness. Let's look deeper into the data.
II) Life success indicators
A variety of life success indicators exist to give us a better idea about these two minorities.
[*A note about France: It is forbidden for the state to gather racial statistics on any population (citizens, prisoners, students, etc.). However, voluntary polling on national origin or on religious affiliation is allowed. That is where most of the following ethnic data comes from. For this reason, compared to the excellent U.S. data, the French numbers remain largely approximative.]
1) Crime statistics
Both U.S. Afros and French Arabs (and Afros) have been accused of committing crime out of proportion with their numbers. Hard to track in France due to laws against state-gathered racial statistics, we nonetheless have some clues.
a) Crime: France
A recent parliamentary report revealed the following fact on France's prison population:
('Muslim background,' in France, is a near-perfect stand-in for Arab origin, with some Afros.)
Another comparison of interest is that between regions where (1) violent crime levels are high and (2) the number of Muslims (number of mosques as proxy) is high. Since immigration often tracks urbanity, we offer a look at (3) population density as well (click to enlarge):
We offer similar data for the Paris area (click to enlarge):
Hugues Lagrange was able to gather concrete data on juvenile delinquency in Paris (where 1 in 5 French live):
These high crime rates for French Arabs are particularly interesting due to the fact that their countries of origin are not considered especially high-crime. Algerian or Moroccan commentators often claim that if these delinquents had grown up on their native soil rather than in France, many would never have so badly lost their way.
For Arabs at least, there is perhaps something to the idea that massive segregation within an alien culture, paired with a permissive French judicial attitude, have taken a touchy situation and made it toxic.
b) Crime: U.S.
The ethnic comparison is much easier to make in the U.S., as the following charts based on federal justice statistics show:
2) Education gaps
Gaps in educational outcomes have been observed for non-Euros in both France and the U.S.
a) Education gaps: France
Hugues Lagrange has gathered data on standardized testing among 6th and 9th graders in Paris:
...As well as testing data broken down by ethnicity and socioeconomic status:
National data exists as well on post-secondary educational attainment:
b) Education gaps : U.S.
For the U.S., where the data is more complete, we can see national ethnic gaps that persist over time (click to enlarge):
3) Neighborhood life
The U.S. and France are both highly urbanized countries. And ethnic minorities tend to be even more city-dwelling than the general population. Their experience?
a) Neighborhood life : France
Since the first major race riots in Lyon in 1981, the French government has served up an alphabet soup of 'urban renewal' policies, each more costly and ambitious than the next.
The spin doctors have settled on 'Sensitive Urban Zone' to describe neighborhoods which suffer from, in their words, 'dense population,' 'deterioration,' and 'a lack of businesses relative to the number of residents.' The state plays a sort of whack-a-mole, trying to nip these in the bud by pouring in more money each year, only to see them multiply ever faster.
A map of the 'Sensitive Urban Neighborhoods' of France side-by-side with our best proxy of a map of Arabs, 'Number of Mosques.' Since both of these factors track urbanity, we include a map of population density for comparison (click to enlarge):
We offer similar data for the Paris area (click to enlarge):
A research institute has done polling on the national origins of these 'Sensitive Urban Zone' dwellers (click to enlarge):
b) Neighborhood life : U.S.
In the U.S. we have detailed neighborhood-level data on ethnicity, poverty, and crime. Neighborhood Scout regularly compiles a list of the nation's 20 most dangerous neighborhoods. The 2014 edition:
Segregation is evident on both sides of the Atlantic: Fischer's census-based racial maps are a testament to the widespread failure of the Post-Segregation project:
4) Unemployment rate
Persistent gaps can be seen in this category as well.
a) Unemployment rate: France
b) Unemployment rate: U.S.
In the U.S., we can even see the evolution over time:
5) Voting patterns
While not a 'life success indicator,' voting patterns are a last point of interest, one in which a small group can have a big impact.
a) Voting patterns: France
'They're only 10% of the population,' the Islamophiles tell us, but pollsters widely reported that at the last presidential election in France (2012), the balance was tipped in favor of the Socialist François Hollande purely due to his landslide among non-Whites.
b) Voting patterns: U.S.
Similarly, the non-Euro vote is changing the political face of America at high speed.
Looking only at our Afro minority's voting patterns, since the 1960s:
III) Demographic future?
We have looked at a variety of indicators that show a troubling lack of integration among U.S. Afros and French Arabs. Without going into the reasons why, we shall for now focus only on numbers.
Today, France is about 85% White Euro. In the U.S. this was last true forty years ago, before the Hispanic tidal wave sank it to 65%.
Is the demographic future of these two countries European?
1) New immigrants
While both nations have undergone waves of immigration for centuries, the new arrivals are not exactly like the old. Who are they?
a) New immigrants: France
Considering the foreign population only--those born in a different country--the numbers have begun to change radically:
b) New Immigrants: U.S.
This is also true in the U.S.:
2) Citizens--Their changing face
France and the U.S. have both undergone a non-Euro immigration explosion since the 1960s. This has left a 'national' population considerably more diverse. How diverse?
a) Citizens: France
The number of Muslims isn't counted by the government, but the number of mosques is. This can give us a hint as to the growth of Arabs (and to a lesser extent, Blacks) among the citizenry over the years:
France's capital city, the most visited in the world, is its pride and joy. One person in five lives in the Paris metro area. The city, as well as France herself, was once overwhelmingly white. And today?
b) Citizens: U.S.
The U.S. spent much of its history as a 90% Euro / 10% Afro population. The 1965 Immigration Act would be this configuration's death knell:
3) The demographic future?
What does all of this portend for the U.S. and France of our grandchildren?
a) The future: France
As Falko Baumgartner has so well explained, a major clue as to the demographic future of France lies buried in an obscure report by a little-known health agency. Since the year 2000, French authorities have been testing all at-risk newborns for sickle-cell anemia. What babies are considered 'at-risk'? Those for whom both parents have (ethnic) origins in the Maghreb, S.S. Africa, the Antilles, the Middle East, Turkey, Greece, S. Italy, Sicily, Brazil, or Black North America.
The latest edition, 2013:
b) The future: U.S.
As for the U.S., the year 2011 was the first in which non-Euro births outnumbered Euros:
To bring our above graph into the future,
...In answer to our question, then, 'Is the demographic future of these two countries European?', nothing seems less sure.
* * *
Our aim here has been only to scratch the surface. We've pointed out and tried to quantify ethnic gaps in crime, education, employment, neighborhood life, and voting patterns, as well as violent lashing out by non-Euros against the majority. We offer no solid reasons for these phenomena, though we suspect genetic differences plus a segregation-alienation effect common to many minority groups around the world.
The parallels are only rough. There are major differences between French Arabs and U.S. Afros, most notably their racial and religious distance from the majority population. Civilisationally, U.S. Blacks have been subsumed by Anglo-America: They know no language but English and no religion but Protestantism. French Arabs, however, are closer genetically to native French, but have immense religious, linguistic, and cultural baggage.
But similarities there are: Both groups make up about one-tenth of the population. They have both been a real part of majority society for about 50 years (post-integration for U.S. Afros, arrival of first immigrants for French Arabs). Both have a layer that is well-integrated, attached to bourgeois values and obeying the law. But both also have a violent, alienated underclass that preys on the host population mercilessly, despite the latter's ever-more-frantic attempts to assimilate them.
While Charlie Hebdo and 'the Islamisation of France' are debated ad nauseam for the next several months, we would do well to remember that if all France's Arabs and Blacks were magically Christianized tomorrow, her integration problem would not simply vanish. There are real ethnic differences, of character traits (impulsitivity, future orientation, clannishness), of cognitive ability, and a host of other factors that cannot be wished or legislated away.
There is no precedent for the successful assimilation of such a large Arab Muslim population into a W. Euro country, just as there is no precedent for the successful assimilation of a large Afro population into a NW Euro country. As we feel both examples show, religion is just one small part of the equation. Let us open our eyes to all the factors behind these simmering civil wars--on both sides of the Atlantic--lest they go from tepid to hot too quickly for us to react.
Peter Frost's excellent 'French Lesson'